Fivethityeight 预测与赔率· 100 个市场

5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k 交易量
$8k 流动性
9 个月后结束

37%

Yes

W
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$117k 交易量
$15k 流动性
9 个月后结束

13%

Yes

H
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

Earthquakes · Science

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

$117k 交易量
$35k 流动性
🔥$53k 今日
2 天后结束

67%

2

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$301k 交易量
$17k 流动性
4

93%

June 30

H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.8m 交易量
$66k 流动性
22
3 个月后结束

86%

8+

W
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?

manchester united · manchester

Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?

$91k 交易量
$31k 流动性
14
大约 2 个月后结束

6%

Yes

N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 6?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 6?

$0 交易量
$19 流动性
4 天后结束

50%

Up

N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 1?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 1?

$437 交易量
$160 流动性
已结束

1%

Up

E
EWY (EWY) Up or Down on April 6?

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on April 6?

$0 交易量
$17 流动性
4 天后结束

50%

Up

W
What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

$19k 交易量
$7k 流动性
2 天后结束

100%

Trump derangement / Trump deranged

N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 2?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 2?

$0 交易量
$7 流动性
大约 7 小时后结束

53%

Up

N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 30?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 30?

$456 交易量
$176 流动性
已结束

1%

Up

N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31?

$93 交易量
$153 流动性
已结束

1%

Up

N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 27?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 27?

$153 交易量
$719 流动性
已结束

99%

Up

W
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

$27k 交易量
$28k 流动性
3 个月后结束

81%

↓ $6,300

N
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26?

$183 交易量
$57 流动性
已结束

5%

Up

A
Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 6?

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on April 6?

$0 交易量
$17 流动性
4 天后结束

50%

Up

M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

$14.5m 交易量
$436k 流动性
🔥$158k 今日
258
3 个月后结束

63%

>$600M

W
What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?

What will MrBeast say during his next YouTube video?

$10k 交易量
$8k 流动性
3
7 天后结束

88%

Thousand / Million 5+ times

M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$38k 交易量
$18k 流动性
9
12 个月后结束

11%

Yes