FOMC 预测与赔率· 121 个市场

F
Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$47.2m 交易量
$4.2m 流动性
🔥$2.5m 今日
49
26 天后结束

98%

No change

F
Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$5.3m 交易量
$1.0m 流动性
🔥$100k 今日
23
2 个月后结束

91%

No change

F
Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$3.3m 交易量
$297k 流动性
🔥$63k 今日
4 个月后结束

81%

No change

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$412k 交易量
$98k 流动性
38
26 天后结束

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$719k 交易量
$101k 流动性
2 个月后结束

86%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$3k 交易量
$120k 流动性
4 个月后结束

72%

Pause–Pause–Pause

H
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

$11k 交易量
$22k 流动性
26 天后结束

41%

2

F
Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

$3k 交易量
$200k 流动性
7 个月后结束

28%

October Meeting

H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$15.5m 交易量
$1.3m 流动性
🔥$158k 今日
60
9 个月后结束

31%

0 (0 bps)

F
Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.3m 交易量
$184k 流动性
16
2 个月后结束

64%

December Meeting

W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$6.0m 交易量
$284k 流动性
5
8 个月后结束

29%

3.75%

W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m 交易量
$306k 流动性
19
9 个月后结束

66%

↓ 3.25%

P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$107k 交易量
$45k 流动性
9 个月后结束

74%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$74k 交易量
$19k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

17%

Yes

J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

$118k 交易量
$15k 流动性
9
9 个月后结束

69%

December 31

F
Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

$4k 交易量
$7k 流动性
9 个月后结束

4%

Yes

K
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

$441k 交易量
$41k 流动性
11
大约 1 个月后结束

53%

May 15

K
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

$66k 交易量
$33k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束

2%

Yes

F
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

$800k 交易量
$43k 流动性
6
8 个月后结束

15%

Yes

J
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

$243k 交易量
$22k 流动性
33
3 个月后结束

3%

Yes