FOMC 预测与赔率· 126 个市场

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

$38.4m 交易量
$3.0m 流动性
🔥$1.9m 今日
18
30 天后结束

97%

No change

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

$2.5m 交易量
$259k 流动性
🔥$243k 今日
4 个月后结束

78%

No change

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

$4.6m 交易量
$914k 流动性
🔥$227k 今日
11
3 个月后结束

87%

No change

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$713k 交易量
$111k 流动性
3 个月后结束

83%

Pause–Pause–Pause

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$390k 交易量
$97k 流动性
17
30 天后结束

97%

Pause–Pause–Pause

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

$10k 交易量
$23k 流动性
30 天后结束

44%

2

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$956 交易量
$130k 流动性
4 个月后结束

73%

Pause–Pause–Pause

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$5.9m 交易量
$348k 流动性
🔥$414k 今日
8
8 个月后结束

34%

3.75%

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m 交易量
$287k 流动性
🔥$321k 今日
18
9 个月后结束

64%

↓ 3.25%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$14.7m 交易量
$1.2m 流动性
🔥$276k 今日
59
9 个月后结束

38%

0 (0 bps)

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.2m 交易量
$177k 流动性
15
3 个月后结束

63%

December Meeting

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$70k 交易量
$20k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

18%

Yes

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

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Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

$40k 交易量
$52k 流动性
9 个月后结束

78%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by April 30?

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by April 30?

$33k 交易量
$19k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

66%

↑ 70

What price will Bitcoin hit on March 30?

What price will Bitcoin hit on March 30?

$155k 交易量
$172k 流动性
🔥$155k 今日
大约 16 小时后结束

100%

↑ 68,000

What price will Bitcoin hit March 30-April 5?

What price will Bitcoin hit March 30-April 5?

$152k 交易量
$124k 流动性
🔥$152k 今日
7 天后结束

71%

↓ 66,000

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

$0 交易量
$14k 流动性
大约 11 小时后结束

50%

Up

What will the Bitcoin realized volatility index hit by April 30?

What will the Bitcoin realized volatility index hit by April 30?

$688 交易量
$503 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

64%

↓ 50

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

$0 交易量
$6k 流动性
大约 11 小时后结束

51%

Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

$0 交易量
$14k 流动性
大约 10 小时后结束

50%

Up