Gpt 5 预测与赔率· 109 个市场

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$359k 交易量
$40k 流动性
40
已结束

82%

December 31, 2026

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$2.9m 交易量
$383k 流动性
64
3 个月后结束

64%

Anthropic

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k 交易量
$8k 流动性
32
已结束

37%

December 31, 2026

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

$482k 交易量
$172k 流动性
24
3 个月后结束

43%

Anthropic

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$0 交易量
$1k 流动性
9 个月后结束

55%

Yes

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$298k 交易量
$15k 流动性
4

94%

June 30

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k 交易量
$949 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

46%

Yes

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k 交易量
$956 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

57%

60%+

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$288k 交易量
$12k 流动性
29
3 个月后结束

21%

June 30, 2026

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$2k 流动性
10 天后结束

8%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量
$6k 流动性
已结束

2%

Yes

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k 交易量
$5k 流动性
17 天后结束

63%

April 17

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束

43%

Yes

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$2.9m 交易量
$88k 流动性
163
30 天后结束

69%

June 30, 2026

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B

$0 交易量
$198 流动性
3 天后结束

61%

Nemiga

GA-05 House Election Winner

GA-05 House Election Winner

$13k 交易量
$27k 流动性
7 个月后结束

94%

Democratic Party

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

$19.8m 交易量
$1.4m 流动性
794
4 个月后结束

91%

Drake releases Iceman

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$43k 交易量
$17k 流动性
1
30 天后结束

71%

June 30

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$666k 交易量
$21k 流动性
10
12 个月后结束

43%

1

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

$79k 交易量
$2k 流动性
15 天后结束

51%

April 15