Gpt 5 预测与赔率· 108 个市场

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$358k 交易量
$35k 流动性
40
已结束

82%

December 31, 2026

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$2.9m 交易量
$442k 流动性
63
3 个月后结束

66%

Anthropic

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$241k 交易量
$8k 流动性
31
已结束

46%

December 31, 2026

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

$475k 交易量
$170k 流动性
22
3 个月后结束

49%

Anthropic

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$0 交易量
$1k 流动性
9 个月后结束

55%

Yes

GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$296k 交易量
$15k 流动性
4

90%

June 30

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k 交易量
$441 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

36%

Yes

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k 交易量
$943 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

56%

60%+

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$288k 交易量
$14k 流动性
29
3 个月后结束

21%

June 30, 2026

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$354 交易量
$3k 流动性
10 天后结束

8%

Yes

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$13k 交易量
$7k 流动性
大约 11 小时后结束

3%

Yes

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$25k 交易量
$4k 流动性
已结束

18%

Yes

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束

43%

Yes

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$2.9m 交易量
$70k 流动性
162
大约 1 个月后结束

76%

June 30, 2026

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B

$0 交易量
$207 流动性
4 天后结束

73%

Nemiga

GA-05 House Election Winner

GA-05 House Election Winner

$13k 交易量
$29k 流动性
7 个月后结束

94%

Democratic Party

Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs megoshort (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage

$300 交易量
$4k 流动性
大约 10 小时后结束

65%

Leo Team

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

$19.8m 交易量
$1.5m 流动性
793
4 个月后结束

91%

Drake releases Iceman

Claude Mythos released by…?

Claude Mythos released by…?

$42k 交易量
$14k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束

69%

June 30

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$666k 交易量
$21k 流动性
9
大约 1 年后结束

43%

1