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Model 预测与赔率· 394 个市场

全部 Politics USA Election Trump Forecast AI Gpt OpenAI Grok Tech 538 Kamala Fivethirtyeight Polling Horse Race Nate Silver Model Fivethityeight Favorite Big Tech Gemini 3 Claude 5

Who will lead on Silver Bulletin on Friday?

Politics·model

Who will lead on Silver Bulletin on Friday?

$78k 交易量

$0 流动性

1

已结束

Trump

Who will lead on 538 on Friday?

Politics·horse race

Who will lead on 538 on Friday?

$92k 交易量

$0 流动性

6

已结束

Trump

How many states will Nate Silver call correctly?

Politics·Polling

How many states will Nate Silver call correctly?

$10k 交易量

$0 流动性

6

已结束

48

How many states will 538 call correctly?

Politics·USA Election

How many states will 538 call correctly?

$11k 交易量

$0 流动性

5

已结束

46

Donald Trump 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Politics·model

Donald Trump 538 odds >55% on Friday?

$11k 交易量

$0 流动性

已结束

No

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Politics·model

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

$130k 交易量

$0 流动性

7

已结束

No

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Politics·model

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

$107k 交易量

$0 流动性

15

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No

Which company has the #3 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

$209k 交易量

$0 流动性

已结束

Google

Which company has the third best AI model end of February?

Which company has the third best AI model end of February?

$233k 交易量

$0 流动性

已结束

Google

Which company has the #1 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

$854k 交易量

$0 流动性

已结束

Anthropic

Which company has the #2 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

$184k 交易量

$0 流动性

已结束

Anthropic

Which company has the second best AI model end of February?

Which company has the second best AI model end of February?

$982k 交易量

$0 流动性

已结束

Anthropic

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

$22.5m 交易量

$0 流动性

已结束

Anthropic

What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

$10.1m 交易量

$0 流动性

已结束

December 11

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

$2.3m 交易量

$0 流动性

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December 13

Which company has the third best AI model end of January?

Which company has the third best AI model end of January?

$682k 交易量

$0 流动性

已结束

Google

Which company has the third best AI model end of December?

Which company has the third best AI model end of December?

$399k 交易量

$0 流动性

已结束

Google

Which company has the second best AI model end of January?

Which company has the second best AI model end of January?

$736k 交易量

$0 流动性

已结束

Google

Which company has the best AI model end of January?

Which company has the best AI model end of January?

$29.0m 交易量

$0 流动性

已结束

Google

Which company has the #3 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

$378k 交易量

$0 流动性

已结束

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