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National Bureau Of Economic Research 预测与赔率· 103 个市场

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U
US recession by end of 2026?

Economy·Economic Policy

US recession by end of 2026?

$1.0m 交易量
$65k 流动性
63
10 个月后结束

32%

Yes

M
March Unemployment Rate

Economy·NFP

March Unemployment Rate

$159k 交易量
$24k 流动性
🔥$115k 今日
大约 11 小时后结束

40%

4.4%

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$717k 交易量
$107k 流动性
3 个月后结束

84%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$2k 交易量
$125k 流动性
4 个月后结束

76%

Pause–Pause–Pause

U
US Trade Deficit in 2026?

Economy·Trump

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

$1k 交易量
$14k 流动性
11 个月后结束

35%

800–900B

T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech·Macro Indicators

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$56 交易量
$791 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

87%

Up

G
GDP growth in 2026

Economy·Economic Policy

GDP growth in 2026

$25k 交易量
$12k 流动性
20
10 个月后结束

62%

>2.5%

H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

Economy·NFP

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

$344k 交易量
$26k 流动性
22
9 个月后结束

60%

5.0%

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$406k 交易量
$99k 流动性
36
26 天后结束

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

B
Bank of Israel Decision in July?

Economy·Israel

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

$0 交易量
$227 流动性
3 个月后结束

51%

No Change

W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Economy·Canada

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

$6k 交易量
$780 流动性
2
11 个月后结束

33%

Yes

B
Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Economy·Global Rates

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

$0 交易量
$158 流动性
3 个月后结束

53%

No change

M
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

Economy·Inflation

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

$34k 交易量
$8k 流动性
9 个月后结束

33%

3.00% to 3.49%

U
US recession in 2025?

Economy·Business

US recession in 2025?

$11.7m 交易量
$0 流动性
710
已结束

No

U
U.S. recession before May 2025?

Economy·National Bureau of Economic Research

U.S. recession before May 2025?

$859k 交易量
$0 流动性
25
已结束

No

J
January Unemployment Rate - Mexico

Economy·Macro Indicators

January Unemployment Rate - Mexico

$7k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

≥2.7%

F
February Unemployment Rate - Mexico

Economy·unemployment

February Unemployment Rate - Mexico

$51k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

2.6%

W
Will a second union vote be approved by the NLRB at the Bessemer Amazon Warehouse before October 15, 2021?

All

Will a second union vote be approved by the NLRB at the Bessemer Amazon Warehouse before October 15, 2021?

$8k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
N
Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - Brazil

World·unemployment

Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - Brazil

$21 交易量
$0 流动性

≥5.4%

W
What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

Economy · Mentions

What will Powell say during his speech on October 14?

$221k 交易量
$0 流动性
72
已结束

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