Reconciliation 预测与赔率· 118 个市场

Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?

Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?

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No

Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15?

All

Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15?

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Which senators vote for the next reconciliation bill?

Which senators vote for the next reconciliation bill?

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Mitch McConnell

Will 51+ senators vote for the next reconciliation bill?

Will 51+ senators vote for the next reconciliation bill?

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No

How many votes will Reconciliation bill get in the House?

How many votes will Reconciliation bill get in the House?

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4
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217–218

When will the reconciliation bill pass?

When will the reconciliation bill pass?

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July 1-6

Reconciliation bill passed by...?

Reconciliation bill passed by...?

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July 4

What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

What will be in the next reconciliation bill?

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3
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End Tax on Tips

When will Trump sign the Big Beautiful Bill into Law?

When will Trump sign the Big Beautiful Bill into Law?

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3
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July 4

Trump signs Big Beautiful Bill into law by...?

Trump signs Big Beautiful Bill into law by...?

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6
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July 4

Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31?

Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31?

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No

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?

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No

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?

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No

Will Big Beautiful Bill cap gambling loss deductions?

Will Big Beautiful Bill cap gambling loss deductions?

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Yes

Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?

Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?

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3
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No

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August?

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August?

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No

Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

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No

Maersk resume shipping in Red Sea by...?

trade · shipping

Maersk resume shipping in Red Sea by...?

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June 30

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

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Yes

Nothing Ever Happens

Nothing Ever Happens

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Yes