Reconcilliation 预测与赔率· 116 个市场

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

$2k 交易量
$10k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束

92%

Yes

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$0 交易量
$13k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束

86%

Yes

N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.5m 交易量
$353k 流动性
9 个月后结束

63%

Orbán - Hungary PM

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

$58k 交易量
$30k 流动性
4

11%

Yes

X
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

$75k 交易量
$19k 流动性
14
9 个月后结束

2%

Yes

Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$17k 交易量
$6k 流动性
大约 11 小时后结束

71%

60-79

B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$4.4m 交易量
$534k 流动性
150
7 个月后结束

52%

Democrats Sweep

I
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$31k 交易量
$7k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

23%

Leadership Change

R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

$59k 交易量
$16k 流动性
6
7 个月后结束

3%

Yes

N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$444k 交易量
$32k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

41%

Yes

Á
Ángela Aguilar & Christian Nodal split in 2026?

Ángela Aguilar & Christian Nodal split in 2026?

$0 交易量
$123 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

74%

Yes

T
Trump signs bill selling federal land before September?

Trump signs bill selling federal land before September?

$8k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

T
Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31?

Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31?

$23k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

S
SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?

Science · outer space

SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?

$4k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Yes

'
'Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes' Opening Weekend

'Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes' Opening Weekend

$187k 交易量
$0 流动性
15
已结束

>$56m

@
@friendtech 3+ new posts by midnight?

@friendtech 3+ new posts by midnight?

$12k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
已结束

Yes

O
OpenAI apologizes to Scarlett Johansson by Friday?

OpenAI apologizes to Scarlett Johansson by Friday?

$30k 交易量
$0 流动性
23
已结束

Yes

S
State wide recount in Presidential Election?

USA Election · Election Night

State wide recount in Presidential Election?

$25k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

T
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August?

Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before August?

$40k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束

No

N
Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition

$90k 交易量
$0 流动性
14
已结束

Yes