Reconcilliation 预测与赔率· 116 个市场

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
$51k 交易量
$17k 流动性
9 个月后结束
$51k 交易量$17k 流动性9 个月后结束
13%
Yes

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k 交易量
$10k 流动性
2
7 个月后结束
$2k 交易量$10k 流动性27 个月后结束
92%
Yes

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 交易量
$8k 流动性
2
7 个月后结束
$0 交易量$8k 流动性27 个月后结束
82%
Yes

Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m 交易量
$527k 流动性
9 个月后结束
$3.4m 交易量$527k 流动性9 个月后结束
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM

2%
Yes

9%
Up

50%
Democrats Sweep

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k 交易量
$13k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束
$28k 交易量$13k 流动性59 个月后结束
36%
Leadership Change

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k 交易量
$14k 流动性
4
7 个月后结束
$57k 交易量$14k 流动性47 个月后结束
2%
Yes

25%
Yes

Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31?
$23k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
$23k 交易量$0 流动性已结束
No

Yes






