Reconcilliation 预测与赔率· 116 个市场

Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition

$90k 交易量
$3k 流动性
13
大约 7 小时后结束

99%

Yes

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

$51k 交易量
$17k 流动性
9 个月后结束

13%

Yes

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

$2k 交易量
$10k 流动性
2
7 个月后结束

92%

Yes

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$0 交易量
$8k 流动性
2
7 个月后结束

82%

Yes

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Geopolitics · World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

$3.4m 交易量
$527k 流动性
9 个月后结束

60%

Orbán - Hungary PM

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

$46k 交易量
$26k 流动性
4

13%

Yes

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

$74k 交易量
$22k 流动性
14
9 个月后结束

2%

Yes

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$3k 交易量
$4k 流动性
4 天后结束

40%

60-79

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 20​26?

$6k 交易量
$1k 流动性
大约 7 小时后结束

9%

Up

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

$0 交易量
$148 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

82%

Up

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$4.2m 交易量
$514k 流动性
138
7 个月后结束

50%

Democrats Sweep

Nothing Ever Happens: Obama

Nothing Ever Happens: Obama

$8k 交易量
$8k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

85%

Nothing

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

$28k 交易量
$13k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

36%

Leadership Change

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

$57k 交易量
$14k 流动性
4
7 个月后结束

2%

Yes

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$440k 交易量
$38k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

25%

Yes

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

$23k 交易量
$15k 流动性
9 个月后结束

10%

Yes

Trump signs bill selling federal land before September?

Trump signs bill selling federal land before September?

$8k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31?

Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31?

$23k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

No

SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?

Science · outer space

SpaceX 4th Starship launch survives re-entry?

$4k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Yes

'Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes' Opening Weekend

'Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes' Opening Weekend

$187k 交易量
$0 流动性
15
已结束

>$56m