Safety 预测与赔率· 106 个市场

U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$73k 交易量
$10k 流动性
7
9 个月后结束

45%

Yes

W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$46k 交易量
$14k 流动性
3
28 天后结束

16%

Yes

W
What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)

$382 交易量
$2k 流动性
大约 14 小时后结束

91%

Trump

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$42k 交易量
$12k 流动性
13
28 天后结束

25%

April 30

N
NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

$29k 交易量
$2k 流动性
4
5 天后结束

41%

51–60

W
What will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in April 2026?

What will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in April 2026?

$2k 交易量
$65 流动性
29 天后结束

50%

↑ $144

H
How many SpaceX launches in April?

How many SpaceX launches in April?

$16k 交易量
$8k 流动性
28 天后结束

57%

13

E
Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$541k 交易量
$1.4m 流动性
🔥$219k 今日
8 天后结束

14%

260-279

N
Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

$22k 交易量
$16k 流动性
已结束

0%

Yes

E
Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

$271k 交易量
$86k 流动性
🔥$153k 今日
2 天后结束

39%

65-89

E
Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$4.8m 交易量
$1.1m 流动性
🔥$713k 今日
1
5 天后结束

17%

260-279

E
Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$18.3m 交易量
$1.7m 流动性
🔥$3.2m 今日
3
1 天后结束

41%

240-259

P
Palantir (PLTR) closes week of Mar 30 at ___?

Palantir (PLTR) closes week of Mar 30 at ___?

$3k 交易量
$8k 流动性
1 天后结束

14%

$142-$144

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

$232k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Down

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

$225k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Down

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

$302k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Up

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

$0 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Up

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

$85k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Down

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

$52k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Up

B
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

$298k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

Down