Science 预测与赔率· 173 个市场

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$22.1m 交易量
$1.3m 流动性
🔥$423k 今日
819
9 个月后结束

17%

December 31

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

$76k 交易量
$27k 流动性
🔥$54k 今日
2 个月后结束

99%

April 30

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

Earthquakes · Science

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

$46k 交易量
$16k 流动性
5 天后结束

51%

1

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.5m 交易量
$31k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

97%

↑2k

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.1m 交易量
$26k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束

28%

14–16

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.8m 交易量
$85k 流动性
22
3 个月后结束

67%

8+

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$2.4m 交易量
$112k 流动性
20
9 个月后结束

45%

2

Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?

Measles · Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?

$41k 交易量
$18k 流动性
30 天后结束

90%

1800

NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

$708k 交易量
$18k 流动性
95
已结束

93%

April 30

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

$331k 交易量
$12k 流动性
1
已结束

96%

5-6"

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

$392k 交易量
$19k 流动性
1
已结束

0%

1600

Precipitation in NYC in March?

Precipitation in NYC in March?

$179k 交易量
$14k 流动性
已结束

98%

3-4"

New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

$200k 交易量
$15k 流动性
9 个月后结束

12%

Yes

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$530k 交易量
$20k 流动性
27
9 个月后结束

6%

Yes

Human moon landing in 2026?

Human moon landing in 2026?

$1.9m 交易量
$33k 流动性
24
9 个月后结束

4%

Yes

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

$652k 交易量
$97k 流动性
9
超过 1 年后结束

47%

2.0T+

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

$112k 交易量
$5k 流动性
5
9 个月后结束

74%

Yes

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

$116k 交易量
$9k 流动性
9 个月后结束

13%

Yes

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$668k 交易量
$15k 流动性
10
12 个月后结束

43%

1

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$172k 交易量
$8k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

13%

Yes