Science 预测与赔率· 586 个市场

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$22.0m 交易量
$1.2m 流动性
🔥$440k 今日
820
9 个月后结束

17%

December 31

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

$65k 交易量
$25k 流动性
2 个月后结束

100%

May 31

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

Earthquakes · Science

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?

$40k 交易量
$19k 流动性
5 天后结束

49%

1

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$7.5m 交易量
$33k 流动性
9 个月后结束

98%

↑2k

NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

$699k 交易量
$26k 流动性
94
大约 11 小时后结束

83%

April 30

Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?

Measles · Pandemics

Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?

$30k 交易量
$11k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

91%

1800

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

$1.1m 交易量
$34k 流动性
9 个月后结束

28%

11–13

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?

$386k 交易量
$21k 流动性
大约 11 小时后结束

1%

1600

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

$1.7m 交易量
$74k 流动性
22
3 个月后结束

66%

8+

New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

$197k 交易量
$29k 流动性
9 个月后结束

12%

Yes

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

$666k 交易量
$22k 流动性
9
大约 1 年后结束

43%

1

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

Precipitation in Seattle in March?

$321k 交易量
$14k 流动性
大约 11 小时后结束

95%

5-6"

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$348k 交易量
$26k 流动性
9 个月后结束

37%

5-6

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

$649k 交易量
$96k 流动性
8
将近 2 年后结束

46%

2.0T+

Precipitation in NYC in March?

Precipitation in NYC in March?

$172k 交易量
$11k 流动性
大约 11 小时后结束

82%

3-4"

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$1.6m 交易量
$259k 流动性
10
9 个月后结束

90%

SpaceX

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$528k 交易量
$27k 流动性
26
9 个月后结束

6%

Yes

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

$208k 交易量
$17k 流动性
10 天后结束

46%

1.25–1.29ºC

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

$168k 交易量
$12k 流动性
6
9 个月后结束

13%

Yes

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

$363k 交易量
$10k 流动性
4 个月后结束

84%

Hong Wang