Shutdown 预测与赔率· 115 个市场

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$34k 交易量
$22k 流动性
14 天后结束

1%

Yes

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$522k 交易量
$145k 流动性
🔥$67k 今日
大约 1 个月后结束

24%

April 13-16

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

$1.1m 交易量
$36k 流动性
已结束

99%

48+ days

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$1.7m 交易量
$82k 流动性
大约 7 小时后结束

100%

After March 31

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$210k 交易量
$28k 流动性
11
7 个月后结束

83%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

$22k 交易量
$33k 流动性
已结束

100%

<6,000

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

$7k 交易量
$5k 流动性
5 天后结束

72%

Happy Easter

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

$81k 交易量
$55k 流动性
1
大约 7 小时后结束

8%

Jacky Rosen

Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?

Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?

$3k 交易量
$7k 流动性
5 天后结束

35%

17.5-18m

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 29?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 29?

$1k 交易量
$3k 流动性
已结束

0%

Yes

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?

$899 交易量
$4k 流动性
已结束

3%

Yes

Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?

$446 交易量
$1k 流动性
已结束

59%

5,500-6,000

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?

$479 交易量
$300 流动性
大约 7 小时后结束

14%

Yes

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

$551k 交易量
$12k 流动性
26
大约 7 小时后结束

51%

December 31, 2026

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

$41k 交易量
$7k 流动性
13
9 个月后结束

25%

Yes

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

$82k 交易量
$21k 流动性
8
大约 7 小时后结束

1%

Yes

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$375k 交易量
$27k 流动性
62

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

$312k 交易量
$12k 流动性
27
大约 7 小时后结束

0%

Yes

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

$100k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束

27%

Yes

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?

$97k 交易量
$31k 流动性
大约 7 小时后结束

99%

Gold