Trump Cabinet 预测与赔率· 237 个市场
W
34%
Pam Bondi
P
63%
December 31
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
$933 交易量
$4k 流动性
9 个月后结束
$933 交易量$4k 流动性9 个月后结束
20%
Yes
P
3%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
$628 交易量
$23k 流动性
9 个月后结束
$628 交易量$23k 流动性9 个月后结束
25%
Yes
P
14%
Yes
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$409k 交易量
$113k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束
$409k 交易量$113k 流动性29 个月后结束
63%
Kristi Noem
W
Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?
$2k 交易量
$319 流动性
28 天后结束
$2k 交易量$319 流动性28 天后结束
3%
Yes
W
14%
Yes
T
Trump out as President by April 30?
$386k 交易量
$200k 流动性
🔥$113k 今日
28 天后结束
$386k 交易量🔥$113k 今日$200k 流动性28 天后结束
1%
Yes
T
Trump out as President before 2027?
$5.6m 交易量
$575k 流动性
🔥$84k 今日
9 个月后结束
$5.6m 交易量🔥$84k 今日$575k 流动性9 个月后结束
16%
Yes
T
6%
Yes
U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m 交易量
$13k 流动性
78
3 个月后结束
$1.5m 交易量$13k 流动性783 个月后结束
11%
Yes
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 交易量
$7k 流动性
2
7 个月后结束
$0 交易量$7k 流动性27 个月后结束
85%
Yes
T
March 31, 2026
W
Stephen Miran
W
None in 2025
W
Kash Patel