Trump Day 1 预测与赔率· 123 个市场

W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$329k 交易量
$27k 流动性
36
3 个月后结束

48%

Yes

H
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

$58k 交易量
$55k 流动性
8
9 个月后结束

30%

6–10s

W
Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

$111k 交易量
$13k 流动性
5
7 个月后结束

75%

Susan Collins - ME-Sen

W
What will Trump say in March?

What will Trump say in March?

$972k 交易量
$103k 流动性
🔥$641k 今日
84
已结束

1%

Yes

W
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

$90k 交易量
$34k 流动性
7
11 个月后结束

86%

1m

I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$12.0m 交易量
$1.1m 流动性
🔥$1.5m 今日
371
已结束

87%

December 31

T
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

$6k 交易量
$2k 流动性
1 天后结束

9%

Up

U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

$96k 交易量
$20k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束

27%

Yes

W
Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

$14k 交易量
$5k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

31%

Yes

N
NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

$104k 交易量
$91k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

48%

Micah Lasher

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$2.1m 交易量
$218k 流动性
🔥$182k 今日
27 天后结束

14%

Yes

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

$30k 交易量
$37k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束

37%

Yes

A
Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$16k 流动性
59
已结束

23%

December 31

A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$31k 交易量
$59k 流动性
27 天后结束

40%

0-10

U
US strikes Yemen by...?

US strikes Yemen by...?

$381k 交易量
$6k 流动性
12
已结束

1%

Yes

M
Military action against Iran ends on...?

Military action against Iran ends on...?

$123k 交易量
$209k 流动性
27 天后结束

59%

Military action through April 30

W
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)

$30k 交易量
$6k 流动性
1 天后结束

96%

April 2

M
Military action against Iran ends by...?

Military action against Iran ends by...?

$47k 交易量
$98k 流动性
27 天后结束

45%

April 24

W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$651k 交易量
$50k 流动性
已结束

3%

20+

W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$23k 交易量
$37k 流动性
27 天后结束

52%

20+