Trump Day 1 预测与赔率· 123 个市场

W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$329k 交易量
$19k 流动性
36
3 个月后结束

47%

Yes

H
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

$58k 交易量
$49k 流动性
8
9 个月后结束

30%

6–10s

W
Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

$111k 交易量
$14k 流动性
5
7 个月后结束

75%

Susan Collins - ME-Sen

W
What will Trump say in March?

What will Trump say in March?

$967k 交易量
$92k 流动性
🔥$716k 今日
83
已结束

1%

Yes

W
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

$90k 交易量
$23k 流动性
7
11 个月后结束

86%

1m

I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$11.8m 交易量
$1.1m 流动性
🔥$1.5m 今日
370
已结束

88%

December 31

T
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

$6k 交易量
$2k 流动性
1 天后结束

9%

Up

U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

$96k 交易量
$17k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束

33%

Yes

W
Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

$14k 交易量
$2k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

32%

Yes

N
NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

$104k 交易量
$70k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

48%

Micah Lasher

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$2.1m 交易量
$201k 流动性
🔥$193k 今日
28 天后结束

13%

Yes

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

$28k 交易量
$31k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束

38%

Yes

A
Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$16k 流动性
59
已结束

23%

December 31

A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$25k 交易量
$66k 流动性
28 天后结束

43%

0-10

U
US strikes Yemen by...?

US strikes Yemen by...?

$381k 交易量
$6k 流动性
12
已结束

1%

Yes

M
Military action against Iran ends on...?

Military action against Iran ends on...?

$120k 交易量
$212k 流动性
28 天后结束

56%

Military action through April 30

W
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)

$30k 交易量
$1k 流动性
1 天后结束

95%

April 2

M
Military action against Iran ends by...?

Military action against Iran ends by...?

$44k 交易量
$93k 流动性
28 天后结束

45%

April 30

W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$650k 交易量
$49k 流动性
已结束

3%

20+

W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$21k 交易量
$37k 流动性
28 天后结束

40%

20+