Trump Day 1 预测与赔率· 296 个市场

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$328k 交易量
$15k 流动性
36
3 个月后结束

50%

Yes

Will Trump meet with Putin again by...?

Will Trump meet with Putin again by...?

$6.8m 交易量
$35k 流动性
252
大约 4 小时后结束

0%

Yes

What will Trump say in March?

What will Trump say in March?

$164k 交易量
$12k 流动性
22
大约 4 小时后结束

14%

Coward

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

$69k 交易量
$15k 流动性
7
11 个月后结束

85%

1m

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$8.7m 交易量
$546k 流动性
🔥$318k 今日
326
大约 4 小时后结束

73%

December 31

How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

$54k 交易量
$50k 流动性
8
9 个月后结束

42%

15s+

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

$56k 交易量
$8k 流动性
7
3 个月后结束

28%

Yes

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

$104k 交易量
$105k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

42%

Micah Lasher

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.6m 交易量
$67k 流动性
🔥$93k 今日
102
大约 1 个月后结束

24%

Yes

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$11k 交易量
$44k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

36%

0-10

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$23k 流动性
60
已结束

24%

December 31

Military action against Iran ends by...?

Military action against Iran ends by...?

$29k 交易量
$54k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

45%

April 25

Military action against Iran ends on...?

Military action against Iran ends on...?

$26k 交易量
$144k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

60%

Military action through April 30

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)

$2k 交易量
$5k 流动性
4 天后结束

98%

March 30

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

$5k 交易量
$1k 流动性
4 天后结束

58%

Up

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$609k 交易量
$43k 流动性
大约 4 小时后结束

4%

20+

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$7k 交易量
$23k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

50%

20+

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

$330k 交易量
$41k 流动性
4
2 个月后结束

66%

Scott Wiener

Military action against Iran ends on...?

Military action against Iran ends on...?

$3.0m 交易量
$94k 流动性
🔥$68k 今日
大约 4 小时后结束

99%

Military action through March 31

Military action against Iran ends by...?

Military action against Iran ends by...?

$252k 交易量
$43k 流动性
3 个月后结束

81%

June 30