Trump Day 1 预测与赔率· 124 个市场

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$328k 交易量
$21k 流动性
36
3 个月后结束

50%

Yes

Will Trump meet with Putin again by...?

Will Trump meet with Putin again by...?

$6.8m 交易量
$35k 流动性
251
大约 7 小时后结束

0%

Yes

How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

$54k 交易量
$73k 流动性
8
9 个月后结束

42%

15s+

Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

$110k 交易量
$13k 流动性
5
7 个月后结束

73%

Ken Paxton - TX-Sen

What will Trump say in March?

What will Trump say in March?

$163k 交易量
$12k 流动性
22
大约 7 小时后结束

12%

Third term

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

$69k 交易量
$23k 流动性
7
11 个月后结束

85%

1m

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$8.7m 交易量
$518k 流动性
🔥$302k 今日
326
大约 7 小时后结束

78%

December 31

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

$4k 交易量
$667 流动性
4 天后结束

17%

Up

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

$56k 交易量
$15k 流动性
7
3 个月后结束

28%

Yes

Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

$13k 交易量
$11k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

21%

Yes

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

$104k 交易量
$127k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

42%

Micah Lasher

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.6m 交易量
$86k 流动性
🔥$88k 今日
100
大约 1 个月后结束

23%

Yes

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$11k 交易量
$75k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

36%

0-10

US strikes Yemen by...?

US strikes Yemen by...?

$368k 交易量
$8k 流动性
12
大约 7 小时后结束

8%

Yes

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$24k 流动性
60
已结束

24%

December 31

Military action against Iran ends on...?

Military action against Iran ends on...?

$26k 交易量
$209k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

60%

Military action through April 30

Military action against Iran ends by...?

Military action against Iran ends by...?

$29k 交易量
$66k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

46%

April 25

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)

$2k 交易量
$3k 流动性
4 天后结束

98%

March 30

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$608k 交易量
$45k 流动性
大约 7 小时后结束

5%

20+

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$7k 交易量
$33k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束

64%

20+