Trump Day 1 预测与赔率· 123 个市场

W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$329k 交易量
$24k 流动性
36
3 个月后结束

47%

Yes

H
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

$58k 交易量
$54k 流动性
8
9 个月后结束

32%

6–10s

W
Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

$111k 交易量
$10k 流动性
5
7 个月后结束

66%

Ken Paxton - TX-Sen

W
What will Trump say in March?

What will Trump say in March?

$1.1m 交易量
$193k 流动性
🔥$95k 今日
85
已结束

0%

Yes

W
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

$90k 交易量
$32k 流动性
7
11 个月后结束

86%

1m

I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$12.4m 交易量
$970k 流动性
🔥$695k 今日
379
已结束

85%

December 31

T
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

$6k 交易量
$2k 流动性
大约 18 小时后结束

9%

Up

U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

$106k 交易量
$24k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

20%

Yes

W
Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

$14k 交易量
$6k 流动性
4
9 个月后结束

33%

Yes

N
NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

$105k 交易量
$121k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

46%

Micah Lasher

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$2.3m 交易量
$358k 流动性
🔥$195k 今日
27 天后结束

12%

Yes

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

$91k 交易量
$30k 流动性
🔥$63k 今日
大约 2 个月后结束

31%

Yes

A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$38k 交易量
$57k 流动性
27 天后结束

42%

0-10

A
Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$25k 流动性
59
已结束

21%

December 31

U
US strikes Yemen by...?

US strikes Yemen by...?

$383k 交易量
$14k 流动性
10
已结束

0%

Yes

M
Military action against Iran ends on...?

Military action against Iran ends on...?

$160k 交易量
$244k 流动性
27 天后结束

67%

Military action through April 30

M
Military action against Iran ends by...?

Military action against Iran ends by...?

$62k 交易量
$99k 流动性
27 天后结束

44%

April 24

W
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)

$32k 交易量
$720 流动性
大约 18 小时后结束

94%

April 3

W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$662k 交易量
$46k 流动性
已结束

3%

20+

W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$27k 交易量
$35k 流动性
27 天后结束

56%

20+