Trump Day 1 预测与赔率· 294 个市场

W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$329k 交易量
$19k 流动性
36
3 个月后结束

47%

Yes

W
What will Trump say in March?

What will Trump say in March?

$968k 交易量
$108k 流动性
🔥$687k 今日
83
已结束

0%

Yes

W
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

$90k 交易量
$24k 流动性
7
11 个月后结束

86%

1m

I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$11.9m 交易量
$1.1m 流动性
🔥$1.5m 今日
371
已结束

88%

December 31

H
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

$58k 交易量
$50k 流动性
8
9 个月后结束

30%

6–10s

U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

$96k 交易量
$20k 流动性
9
3 个月后结束

27%

Yes

N
NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

$104k 交易量
$85k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

48%

Micah Lasher

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$2.1m 交易量
$224k 流动性
🔥$189k 今日
28 天后结束

13%

Yes

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

$29k 交易量
$29k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束

38%

Yes

A
Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

$2.5m 交易量
$16k 流动性
59
已结束

23%

December 31

A
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?

$25k 交易量
$68k 流动性
28 天后结束

43%

0-10

M
Military action against Iran ends on...?

Military action against Iran ends on...?

$122k 交易量
$219k 流动性
28 天后结束

59%

Military action through April 30

W
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (March 30 - April 4)

$30k 交易量
$2k 流动性
1 天后结束

96%

April 2

M
Military action against Iran ends by...?

Military action against Iran ends by...?

$46k 交易量
$106k 流动性
28 天后结束

45%

April 24

T
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

$6k 交易量
$2k 流动性
1 天后结束

9%

Up

W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$651k 交易量
$50k 流动性
已结束

3%

20+

W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$23k 交易量
$40k 流动性
28 天后结束

48%

20+

W
Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

$330k 交易量
$45k 流动性
4
2 个月后结束

65%

Scott Wiener

M
Military action against Iran ends by...?

Military action against Iran ends by...?

$315k 交易量
$46k 流动性
3 个月后结束

82%

June 30

W
Who will Trump endorse?

Who will Trump endorse?

$111k 交易量
$11k 流动性
5
7 个月后结束

78%

Susan Collins - ME-Sen