US Elections 预测与赔率· 475 个市场

W
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

$104k 交易量
$28k 流动性
17
9 个月后结束

91%

Yes

W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

$1.4m 交易量
$334k 流动性
6
7 个月后结束

52%

Democratic Party

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$0 交易量
$7k 流动性
2
7 个月后结束

85%

Yes

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

$2k 交易量
$10k 流动性
2
7 个月后结束

92%

Yes

R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

$198k 交易量
$92k 流动性
4
7 个月后结束

35%

Below 190

2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

$2k 交易量
$22k 流动性
7 个月后结束

20%

115-120m

2
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

$28k 交易量
$33k 流动性
7 个月后结束

46%

Other

N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

$0 交易量
$432 流动性
7 个月后结束

80%

Yes

R
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

$2.1m 交易量
$199k 流动性
9

27%

≤47

A
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$254k 交易量
$25k 流动性
11
7 个月后结束

84%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$4.3m 交易量
$481k 流动性
146
7 个月后结束

51%

Democrats Sweep

R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

$59k 交易量
$18k 流动性
4
7 个月后结束

3%

Yes

B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

$21k 交易量
$17k 流动性
1
8 个月后结束

47%

Yes

B
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

$28k 交易量
$11k 流动性
4
8 个月后结束

79%

Yes

A
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

$360k 交易量
$16k 流动性
2
7 个月后结束

82%

Not Extended & Democratic Party

W
Will any Illinois Dem House incumbent lose their primary?

Will any Illinois Dem House incumbent lose their primary?

$413 交易量
$188 流动性
5
已结束

2%

Yes

W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

$466k 交易量
$36k 流动性
50
3 个月后结束

89%

Yes

T
Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?

Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?

$966 交易量
$7k 流动性
28 天后结束

90%

Yes

H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

$588k 交易量
$55k 流动性
4
7 个月后结束

35%

22–23

W
Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

$10k 交易量
$36k 流动性
2
超过 2 年后结束

20%

Yes