US Elections Predictions & Odds· 266 markets
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
$102k Vol.
$27k Liq.
17
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$27k Liq.17Ends in 9 months
91%
Yes
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.3m Vol.
$354k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$1.3m Vol.$354k Liq.Ends in 7 months
52%
Democratic Party
2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?
$55k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$55k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
$743 Vol.
$716 Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$743 Vol.$716 Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$110k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$110k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
31%
Below 190
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
19%
115-120m
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$415 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$415 Liq.Ends in 7 months
77%
Yes
27%
≤47
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$210k Vol.
$26k Liq.
10
Ends in 7 months
$210k Vol.$26k Liq.10Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.2m Vol.
$508k Liq.
137
Ends in 7 months
$4.2m Vol.$508k Liq.137Ends in 7 months
50%
Democrats Sweep
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
$360k Vol.
$21k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$360k Vol.$21k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
83%
Not Extended & Democratic Party
Will any Illinois Dem House incumbent lose their primary?
$0 Vol.
$855 Liq.
5
Ended
$0 Vol.$855 Liq.5Ended
2%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$405k Vol.
$36k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$405k Vol.$36k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
81%
Yes
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
$0 Vol.
$33k Liq.
2
Ends in over 2 years
$0 Vol.$33k Liq.2Ends in over 2 years
20%
Yes