2024 Presidential Nomination Predictions & Odds· 123 markets

D
Democratic Nominee 2024

Democratic Nominee 2024

$327.9m Vol.
$0 Liq.
2,486
Ended

Kamala Harris

R
Republican Nominee 2024

Republican Nominee 2024

$9.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended

Donald Trump

T
Trump >50% chance of winning nomination after Super Tuesday?

Yes

[
[Single Markets] Democratic Nominee 2024

[Single Markets] Democratic Nominee 2024

$7.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
71
Ended

Kamala Harris

[
[Single Markets] Republican Nominee 2024

[Single Markets] Republican Nominee 2024

$7.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended

Donald Trump

B
Biden drops out before May?

Biden · u.s. 2024 republican presidential nomination

Biden drops out before May?

$92k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

[
[Single Markets] Republican VP nominee?

[Single Markets] Republican VP nominee?

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Nikki Haley

T
Trump and Biden both lose nomination?

Trump and Biden both lose nomination?

$12k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

T
Trump wins and picks Dimon for Treasury Secretary?

Trump wins and picks Dimon for Treasury Secretary?

$95k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

No

T
Trump and Biden both win nomination?

Trump and Biden both win nomination?

$4.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
30
Ended

No

H
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?

Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?

$6.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
31
Ended

Yes

T
Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?

Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?

$991k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

Yes

G
GDP growth in 2025

GDP growth in 2025

$980k Vol.
$0 Liq.
15
Ended

2.0–2.5%

W
When will Trump announce VP pick?

When will Trump announce VP pick?

$561k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

July

T
Trump wins every state in Rep. Nomination?

Trump wins every state in Rep. Nomination?

$820k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended

No

W
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday?

Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday?

$378k Vol.
$0 Liq.
15
Ended

No

B
Biden nominated before Democratic convention?

Biden nominated before Democratic convention?

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended

No

W
Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first?

All

Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first?

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Biden