538 Predictions & Odds· 100 markets
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1.6m Vol.
$768k Liq.
64
Ends in over 2 years
$1.6m Vol.$768k Liq.64Ends in over 2 years
59%
Democratic
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 4 days
41%
60-79
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?
$642k Vol.
$20k Liq.
321
Ends in about 5 hours
$642k Vol.$20k Liq.321Ends in about 5 hours
90%
April 30
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$578 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$578 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 8 days
49%
60-79
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$475.2m Vol.
$28.6m Liq.
🔥$5.9m today
803
Ends in over 2 years
$475.2m Vol.🔥$5.9m today$28.6m Liq.803Ends in over 2 years
18%
JD Vance
Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
$19k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 21 hours
83%
60-79
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$22k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$22k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
26%
Yes
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?
$655 Vol.
$931 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$655 Vol.$931 Liq.Ends in 1 day
53%
Up
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
2%
Yes
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$2k Vol.
$937 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$2k Vol.$937 Liq.Ends in 1 day
47%
↓ 43200
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
68%
Not revealed in 2026
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$391k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$391k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$102k Vol.
$14k Liq.
27
Ends in about 1 month
$102k Vol.$14k Liq.27Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 30
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$100k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$12k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
Ted Cruz # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$5k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 8 days
40%
80-99
90%
Democratic Party
16%
Isfahan nuclear facility
8%
Yes