Actor Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

65%
No Bond chosen

Israel false flag attack confirmed?
$1 Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1 Vol.$141 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
50%
Yes

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
$46k Vol.
$40k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$40k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
32%
December 31

Iran coup attempt by June 30?
$339k Vol.
$20k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months
$339k Vol.$20k Liq.18Ends in 3 months
22%
Yes

Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
1%
Yes

China coup attempt before 2027?
$111k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$111k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes

7%
Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
31%
April 30

Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?
$115k Vol.
$4k Liq.
20
Ends in 3 months
$115k Vol.$4k Liq.20Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 4 days
42%
60-79

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$578 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$578 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
49%
60-79

45%
Yes

Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$20k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
$20k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 20 hours
74%
60-79

What price will Ethena hit in March?
$99k Vol.
$172k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$99k Vol.$172k Liq.Ends in 1 day
13%
↓ 0.08

What will NYSE Composite (NYA) hit in March?
$23k Vol.
$953 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$23k Vol.$953 Liq.Ends in 1 day
32%
↓ 17800

47%
↓ 19200

What will Bitcoin outperform in March?
$100k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$100k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
100%
Gold

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
$74k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
70%
↓ 0.0014

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?
$9k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$62k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
56%
S&P 500
