Anthropic Predictions & Odds· 170 markets
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
$11k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 9 months
89%
Yes
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$939 Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$939 Liq.11Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$913k Vol.
$106k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$913k Vol.$106k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
96%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$93k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$93k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
77%
600B+
Claude Mythos released by…?
$42k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$42k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
70%
June 30
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$26k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$26k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
45%
None in 2026
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$1k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 15 days
82%
April 15
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
$10k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$10k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
42%
9-11
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$45k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$45k Vol.$9k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
17%
Yes
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$188k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$188k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
91%
35%+
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$51k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
68%
Anthropic
14%
Yes
3%
Yes
Claude 5 released by…?
$2.9m Vol.
$66k Liq.
163
Ends in about 1 month
$2.9m Vol.$66k Liq.163Ends in about 1 month
73%
June 30, 2026
49%
June 30
22%
December 31, 2026
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$16.0m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$212k today
1
Ends in about 4 hours
$16.0m Vol.🔥$212k today$1.5m Liq.1Ends in about 4 hours
100%
Anthropic
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$802k Vol.
$137k Liq.
🔥$136k today
Ends in about 1 month
$802k Vol.🔥$136k today$137k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
85%
Anthropic
IPOs before 2027?
$5.2m Vol.
$145k Liq.
🔥$61k today
3
Ends in 9 months
$5.2m Vol.🔥$61k today$145k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
93%
SpaceX
Which company has best AI model end of June?
$2.9m Vol.
$384k Liq.
64
Ends in 3 months
$2.9m Vol.$384k Liq.64Ends in 3 months
65%
Anthropic