Anthropic Predictions & Odds· 156 markets
A
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
$12k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
94%
Yes
A
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$2k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
74%
Yes
A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$927k Vol.
$107k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$927k Vol.$107k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
97%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$99k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$99k Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
55%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
C
57%
June 30
W
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$29k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$29k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
41%
None in 2026
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
$14k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$14k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in 28 days
47%
9-11
B
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$19k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
$19k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 13 days
85%
April 15
W
Will Claude go down on __ days in May?
$17 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$17 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
39%
9-11
A
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$191k Vol.
$24k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$191k Vol.$24k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
96%
35%+
W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$46k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 28 days
$46k Vol.$14k Liq.3Ends in 28 days
16%
Yes
A
10%
Yes
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
$51k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in over 1 year
57%
Anthropic
A
3%
Yes
C
56%
June 30, 2026
A
20%
Yes
C
59%
June 30
W
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
$3.2m Vol.
$617k Liq.
🔥$333k today
Ends in 28 days
$3.2m Vol.🔥$333k today$617k Liq.Ends in 28 days
95%
Anthropic
W
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$853k Vol.
$155k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$853k Vol.$155k Liq.Ends in 28 days
90%
Anthropic
I
94%
SpaceX