Approval Ratings Predictions & Odds· 104 markets
T
43%
39.0–39.4
H
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$43k Vol.
$27k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$43k Vol.$27k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
36%
35%
H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
$3k Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$26k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
12%
↑ 46%
"
99%
72+
A
Economy · Politics
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$4k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
E
World · Economy
EU debt downgrade before 2027?
$824 Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$824 Vol.$5k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes
C
6%
Yes
A
Politics · Economy
Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?
$414 Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$414 Vol.$2k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
62%
Yes
C
65%
April 17
"
0%
56+
F
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
$544k Vol.
$5k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$544k Vol.$5k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
27%
Yes
H
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$41k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
60+
"
"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score?
$22k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$22k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 3 days
18%
45+
A
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
$27k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$27k Vol.$4k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
30%
Yes
W
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$27k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
$27k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 2 days
47%
Delcy / Rodriguez
W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$10k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$10k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 8 days
36%
160-179
M
51%
Yes
U
9%
April 30
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
85%
Yes