Attacks Predictions & Odds· 140 markets

I
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

$11.9m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$1.5m today
371
Ended

88%

December 31

I
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

$4.0m Vol.
$773k Liq.
🔥$245k today
Ended

100%

Bahrain

I
Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

$67k Vol.
$71k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

97%

April 2

I
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

$105k Vol.
$751k Liq.
Ended

100%

March 28

I
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

$228k Vol.
$810k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

100%

Bahrain

I
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

$83k Vol.
$26k Liq.
2
Ends in 28 days

10%

April 15

W
What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

$132k Vol.
$144k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

30%

Habshan Field/Processing Complex

W
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

$466k Vol.
$32k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months

89%

Yes

H
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

$98k Vol.
$31k Liq.
4
Ends in 28 days

36%

April 30

R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?

$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours

17%

Yes

W
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

$29k Vol.
$22k Liq.
4
Ends in 28 days

7%

Yes

R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

3%

Yes

I
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

$10k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

98%

April 1

H
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

$36k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

53%

2–3

I
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?

Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?

$16k Vol.
$11k Liq.
7
Ends in 28 days

48%

Yes

I
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

$12k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

97%

April 1

2
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

$130k Vol.
$20k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months

10%

Yes

1
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?

$52k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ended

0%

Yes

I
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

$119k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ended

1%

Yes

R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?

4%

Yes