Campaign Promises Predictions & Odds· 106 markets
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
$212k Vol.
$26k Liq.
61
Ends in 3 months
$212k Vol.$26k Liq.61Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
cs2 · counter strike 2
Will Valve add first CS2 operation by April 1, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 1 day
$3k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 1 day
3%
Yes
Will Ken Paxton drop out?
$5k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$5k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$7k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$7k Vol.$64k Liq.Ends in 12 days
24%
Keiko Fujimori <5%
West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$75k Vol.
$83k Liq.
12
Ends in 29 days
$75k Vol.$83k Liq.12Ends in 29 days
75%
AITC
Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$62k Vol.
$102k Liq.
19
Ends in 9 days
$62k Vol.$102k Liq.19Ends in 9 days
67%
INC
Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$10k Vol.
$37k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
$10k Vol.$37k Liq.1Ends in 9 days
93%
BJP
91%
Republican Party
Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory
$17k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$17k Vol.$40k Liq.Ends in 19 days
45%
PB 5-10%
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$40k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$40k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)
94%
Democratic Party
91%
Democratic Party
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?
$172k Vol.
$77k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$172k Vol.$77k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
56%
80+
93%
Democratic Party
54%
Democratic Party
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
$20k Vol.
$48k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$20k Vol.$48k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
38%
3
93%
Democratic Party
93%
Democratic Party
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$206k Vol.
$85k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$206k Vol.$85k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
40%
Lula da Silva <5%
# of seats won by PB in Bulgarian Parliamentary Election?
$21k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$21k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in 19 days
38%
85-89