Claude Predictions & Odds· 122 markets
50%
June 30
Claude Mythos released by…?
$38k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$38k Vol.$18k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
71%
June 30
Will Claude go down on __ days in April?
$9k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
41%
9-11
Anthropic Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
$188k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$188k Vol.$18k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
94%
35%+
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$56k Vol.
$1k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$56k Vol.$1k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
56%
Yes
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$44k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$44k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
18%
Yes
Big AI out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?
$894 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$894 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 16 days
77%
April 15
Claude 5 released by…?
$2.9m Vol.
$62k Liq.
162
Ends in about 1 month
$2.9m Vol.$62k Liq.162Ends in about 1 month
59%
June 30, 2026
Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
$1.1m Vol.
$169k Liq.
20
Ends in about 14 hours
$1.1m Vol.$169k Liq.20Ends in about 14 hours
99%
OpenAI
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$15k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
98%
ChatGPT
NHL · Sports
NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner
$142k Vol.
$662k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$142k Vol.$662k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
44%
Nikita Kucherov
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
$51k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$51k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
68%
Anthropic
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$5k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
92%
Claude by Anthropic
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$93k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$93k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
76%
600B+
13%
Yes
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
$11k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
89%
Yes
Lecornu out as French PM by...?
$314k Vol.
$22k Liq.
111
Ends in 9 months
$314k Vol.$22k Liq.111Ends in 9 months
37%
December 31, 2026
Crypto
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?
$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
86%
50
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$432k Liq.
255
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$432k Liq.255Ends in 3 months
43%
>$600M
48%
Yes