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Conflict Predictions & Odds· 207 markets

AllPoliticsGazaIranWarInternational RelationsRussiaUkrainePeace AgreementsHamasMiddle EastIsraelMilitaryHostagesConflict ResolutionUS MilitaryInterventionHezbollahZelenskyHumanitarian PauseConflictHouthisCultureGoogleWarfareU.S. MilitaryInternational AffairsTechGeopoliticsForeign PolicyWorldTrump ZelenskyyGoogle SearchBest Of 2025Ukraine Peace Deal
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30?

Politics·hamas

Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30?

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Continued US strikes against Houthis?

Politics·us military

Continued US strikes against Houthis?

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

Yes

Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January?

Politics·Hezbollah

Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January?

$69k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

No

Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January?

Politics·Houthis

Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January?

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended

No

Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday?

Politics·Israel

Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday?

$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?

Politics·hamas

Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?

$731k Vol.
$0 Liq.
216
Ended

Yes

Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31?

Politics·military

Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31?

$119k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Politics·Israel

Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15?

$34k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict?

Politics·international relations

Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict?

$97k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended

No

Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday?

Politics·Israel

Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday?

$244k Vol.
$0 Liq.
508
Ended

No

Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?

Politics·Israel

Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?

$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
508
Ended

Yes

Will Hamas surrender in 2023?

Politics·Middle East

Will Hamas surrender in 2023?

$110k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

No

Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?

Politics·Israel

Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?

$53k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended

Yes

Will Hamas surrender before February?

Politics·Middle East

Will Hamas surrender before February?

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

#1 Searched News on Google this year?

Tech·google

#1 Searched News on Google this year?

$1.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended

Charlie Kirk assassination

Will Daniil Medvedev play in the 2022 French Open?

All

Will Daniil Medvedev play in the 2022 French Open?

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31?

All

Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31?

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
US military intervention by Oct 31?

Politics·intervention

US military intervention by Oct 31?

$341k Vol.
$0 Liq.
157
Ended

No

Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY?

Politics·international relations

Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY?

$58k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended

No

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

World·zelensky

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?

$7.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No