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Conflict Predictions & Odds· 217 markets

AllPoliticsGazaIranWarInternational RelationsRussiaUkrainePeace AgreementsHamasMiddle EastIsraelMilitaryHostagesConflict ResolutionPutinUS MilitaryInterventionHezbollahHumanitarian PauseConflictHouthisCultureGoogleWarfareU.S. MilitaryInternational AffairsTechGeopoliticsTrump PresidencyForeign PolicyWorldTrump ZelenskyyGoogle SearchBest Of 2025Ukraine Peace Deal
W
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30?

Politics·hamas

Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30?

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

C
Continued US strikes against Houthis?

Politics·us military

Continued US strikes against Houthis?

$22k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

Yes

W
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January?

Politics·Hezbollah

Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January?

$69k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended

No

H
Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January?

Politics·Houthis

Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January?

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended

No

I
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday?

Politics·Israel

Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday?

$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

H
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?

Politics·hamas

Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?

$731k Vol.
$0 Liq.
216
Ended

Yes

I
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31?

Politics·military

Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 31?

$119k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

I

Politics·Israel

Israel ground offensive in Rafah by March 15?

$34k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict?

Politics·international relations

Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict?

$97k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended

No

I
Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday?

Politics·Israel

Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday?

$244k Vol.
$0 Liq.
508
Ended

No

I
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?

Politics·Israel

Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?

$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
508
Ended

Yes

W
Will Hamas surrender in 2023?

Politics·Middle East

Will Hamas surrender in 2023?

$110k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

No

W
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?

Politics·Israel

Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30?

$53k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended

Yes

W
Will Hamas surrender before February?

Politics·Middle East

Will Hamas surrender before February?

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

#
#1 Searched News on Google this year?

Tech·google

#1 Searched News on Google this year?

$1.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended

Charlie Kirk assassination

W
Will Daniil Medvedev play in the 2022 French Open?

All

Will Daniil Medvedev play in the 2022 French Open?

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31?

All

Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31?

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US military intervention by Oct 31?

Politics·intervention

US military intervention by Oct 31?

$341k Vol.
$0 Liq.
157
Ended

No

W
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY?

Politics·international relations

Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY?

$58k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended

No

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
20,364
Ended

No