Country Policies Predictions & Odds· 151 markets
W
Will any country leave NATO by...?
$447k Vol.
$76k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months
$447k Vol.$76k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31, 2026
W
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
$208k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ended
$208k Vol.$25k Liq.Ended
0%
Yes
E
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$102k Vol.
$20k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$102k Vol.$20k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
E
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
$85k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$85k Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31
W
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
$195k Vol.
$51k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$195k Vol.$51k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
W
Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?
$48k Vol.
$21k Liq.
2
Ended
$48k Vol.$21k Liq.2Ended
0%
Yes
W
0%
Yes
W
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
$52k Vol.
$29k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$52k Vol.$29k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
W
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by...?
$29k Vol.
$2k Liq.
24
Ends in 9 months
$29k Vol.$2k Liq.24Ends in 9 months
57%
December 31, 2026
W
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
$3 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
X
X banned in any European country by December 31?
$0 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Yes
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
$355k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$355k Vol.$62k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
Somaliland
A
Politics · Geopolitics
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
$109k Vol.
$42k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$109k Vol.$42k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
W
Politics · Geopolitics
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?
$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
H
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$6.3m Vol.
$159k Liq.
🔥$465k today
7
Ends in 9 months
$6.3m Vol.🔥$465k today$159k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
36%
4
W
Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?
$599k Vol.
$301k Liq.
🔥$102k today
Ends in 29 days
$599k Vol.🔥$102k today$301k Liq.Ends in 29 days
14%
Saudi Arabia
W
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$459k Vol.
$180k Liq.
🔥$70k today
9
Ends in 3 months
$459k Vol.🔥$70k today$180k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
37%
Pakistan
H
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
$719k Vol.
$102k Liq.
39
Ends in 9 months
$719k Vol.$102k Liq.39Ends in 9 months
33%
7
W
Will Trump visit China by...?
$19.1m Vol.
$315k Liq.
🔥$357k today
433
Ends in 29 days
$19.1m Vol.🔥$357k today$315k Liq.433Ends in 29 days
83%
June 30