Democrat Predictions & Odds· 1238 markets

W
Will any Illinois Dem House incumbent lose their primary?

2%

Yes

L
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

21%

Yes

B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$4.2m Vol.
$419k Liq.
141
Ends in 7 months

50%

Democrats Sweep

N
NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner

$21k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

85%

Ritchie Torres

W
WV-02 House Election Winner

WV-02 House Election Winner

$24k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

93%

Republican Party

C
CA-14 House Election Winner

CA-14 House Election Winner

$12k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

93%

Democratic Party

O
OK-03 House Election Winner

OK-03 House Election Winner

$36k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

92%

Republican Party

C
CA-15 House Election Winner

CA-15 House Election Winner

$41k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

95%

Democratic Party

W
WV-01 House Election Winner

WV-01 House Election Winner

$25k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

94%

Republican Party

O
OH-02 House Election Winner

OH-02 House Election Winner

$24k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

92%

Republican Party

N
NC-05 House Election Winner

NC-05 House Election Winner

$15k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

89%

Republican Party

S
South Carolina Senate Election Winner

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$16k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months

78%

Republican

V
VA-06 House Election Winner

VA-06 House Election Winner

$26k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

56%

Democratic Party

G
GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner

GA-05 Democratic Primary Winner

$6k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

96%

Nikema Williams

C
CA-16 House Election Winner

CA-16 House Election Winner

$16k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

94%

Democratic Party

W
WA-04 House Election Winner

WA-04 House Election Winner

$21k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

83%

Republican Party

M
MS-01 House Election Winner

MS-01 House Election Winner

$9k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

92%

Republican Party

M
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner

Massachusetts Governor Election Winner

$14k Vol.
$46k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

94%

Democrat

N
New York Governor Election Winner

New York Governor Election Winner

$51k Vol.
$65k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months

93%

Democrat

T
TN-05 House Election Winner

TN-05 House Election Winner

$3k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

80%

Republican Party