Change Predictions & Odds· 603 markets
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
34%
Leadership Change
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.3m Vol.
$227k Liq.
🔥$131k today
886
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$131k today$227k Liq.886Ends in 9 months
52%
December 31
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$293 Vol.
$586 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$293 Vol.$586 Liq.Ends in 7 months
15%
Yes
Fed decision in April?
$38.7m Vol.
$3.4m Liq.
🔥$1.9m today
18
Ends in 29 days
$38.7m Vol.🔥$1.9m today$3.4m Liq.18Ends in 29 days
97%
No change
Fed Decision in July?
$2.6m Vol.
$257k Liq.
🔥$374k today
Ends in 4 months
$2.6m Vol.🔥$374k today$257k Liq.Ends in 4 months
78%
No change
Fed Decision in June?
$4.6m Vol.
$847k Liq.
🔥$228k today
11
Ends in 3 months
$4.6m Vol.🔥$228k today$847k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
88%
No change
Bank of Brazil Decision in April?
$172k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$172k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 28 days
81%
Decrease
ECB Interest Rates: April 2026
$214k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$214k Vol.$60k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
63%
No change
96%
No change
Bank of England decision in April?
$200k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$200k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
80%
No change
89%
Decrease
Bank of Japan Decision in April?
$232k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$232k Vol.$63k Liq.Ends in 28 days
69%
25 bps increase
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in March?
$163k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$163k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
98%
Increase
96%
No Change
Bank of Mexico Decision in May
$4k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
80%
No change
Bank of Korea decision in May?
$10k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$10k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
68%
No Change
Q1 S&P 500 Performance
$352k Vol.
$37k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$352k Vol.$37k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
100%
<0%
94%
No Change