Rate Predictions & Odds· 414 markets

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?
$25k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$25k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
79%
↑ 1.6M

96%
No change

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by March 31?
$369k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$369k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
16%
↑ 1.6M

Will SOFR hit __ in March?
$6k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$6k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
50%
↑3.72%

71%
No change

People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?
$117k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$117k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes

42%
Yes

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
$13k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$13k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
75%
Yes

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)
$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
37%
<1600.00

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026?
$1k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
53%
1600.00+

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$5.9m Vol.
$353k Liq.
🔥$374k today
8
Ends in 8 months
$5.9m Vol.🔥$374k today$353k Liq.8Ends in 8 months
34%
3.75%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$278k today
58
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$278k today$1.2m Liq.58Ends in 9 months
37%
0 (0 bps)

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
$1.2m Vol.
$40k Liq.
28
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.2m Vol.$40k Liq.28Ends in about 11 hours
99%
5–15%

24%
Yes

64%
December Meeting

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$70k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$70k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes

33%
4.4%

Science · Pandemics
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
$7k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$7k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in 3 days
96%
80–85
