Change Predictions & Odds· 3707 markets
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
35%
Leadership Change
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.3m Vol.
$209k Liq.
🔥$127k today
887
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$127k today$209k Liq.887Ends in 9 months
48%
December 31
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$293 Vol.
$408 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$293 Vol.$408 Liq.Ends in 7 months
16%
Yes
Fed decision in April?
$39.0m Vol.
$3.2m Liq.
🔥$2.0m today
21
Ends in 29 days
$39.0m Vol.🔥$2.0m today$3.2m Liq.21Ends in 29 days
97%
No change
Fed Decision in July?
$2.7m Vol.
$247k Liq.
🔥$491k today
Ends in 4 months
$2.7m Vol.🔥$491k today$247k Liq.Ends in 4 months
78%
No change
Fed Decision in June?
$4.7m Vol.
$740k Liq.
🔥$182k today
13
Ends in 3 months
$4.7m Vol.🔥$182k today$740k Liq.13Ends in 3 months
88%
No change
Bank of Brazil Decision in April?
$173k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$173k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 28 days
80%
Decrease
ECB Interest Rates: April 2026
$215k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$215k Vol.$60k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
62%
No change
96%
No change
Bank of England decision in April?
$202k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$202k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
79%
No change
Bank of Japan Decision in April?
$234k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$234k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in 28 days
68%
25 bps increase
91%
Decrease
Central Bank of Colombia Decision in March?
$164k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$164k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
98%
Increase
Reserve Bank of India decision in April
$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$4k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 8 days
94%
No Change
76%
Decrease
Bank of Mexico Decision in May
$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
79%
No change
Bank of Israel Decision in May?
$11k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$11k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
68%
No Change
Q1 S&P 500 Performance
$353k Vol.
$37k Liq.
1
Ends in about 6 hours
$353k Vol.$37k Liq.1Ends in about 6 hours
100%
<0%
96%
No Change