Doomsday Clock Predictions & Odds· 107 markets
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
$34k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$34k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
7%
Dune 3
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
$2.6m Vol.
$821k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.6m Vol.$821k Liq.Ends in 9 months
42%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
$1.3m Vol.
$241k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.$241k Liq.Ends in 9 months
76%
Avengers: Doomsday
Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250?
$124 Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 year
$124 Vol.$6k Liq.2Ends in about 1 year
76%
The Odyssey
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$1k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$1k Vol.$6k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
42%
<15 minutes
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Weather · earthquake
Megaquake by June 30?
$23k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$23k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 3 months
22%
Yes
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
39%
160-179
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$139k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$139k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
earthquake · Natural Disaster
Megaquake by March 31?
$127k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$127k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$151k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours
$151k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 23 hours
70%
160-179
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
1%
Yes
Ukraine hits Moscow by...?
$139k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$139k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
12%
April 30
45%
Yes
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$3.0m Vol.
$99k Liq.
🔥$82k today
Ends in about 7 hours
$3.0m Vol.🔥$82k today$99k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
99%
Military action through March 31
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$26k Vol.
$212k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$26k Vol.$212k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
60%
Military action through April 30
12%
Yes