Doomsday Clock Predictions & Odds· 107 markets
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
$34k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$34k Vol.$4k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
7%
Dune 3
Highest grossing movie in 2026?
$2.6m Vol.
$717k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$2.6m Vol.$717k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
40%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
$1.3m Vol.
$221k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.$221k Liq.Ends in 9 months
76%
Avengers: Doomsday
Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250?
$124 Vol.
$4k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 year
$124 Vol.$4k Liq.2Ends in about 1 year
76%
The Odyssey
How late will Leavitt be to the next press briefing?
$8k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in about 6 hours
$8k Vol.$11k Liq.1Ends in about 6 hours
80%
25 - 30 minutes
16%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$11k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
Weather · earthquake
Megaquake by June 30?
$23k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$23k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
21%
Yes
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
42%
160-179
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$139k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$139k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
earthquake · Natural Disaster
Megaquake by March 31?
$128k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$128k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
1%
Yes
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$154k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
$154k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 22 hours
69%
160-179
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
1%
Yes
Ukraine hits Moscow by...?
$139k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
$139k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
12%
April 30
45%
Yes
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$3.0m Vol.
$94k Liq.
🔥$72k today
Ends in about 6 hours
$3.0m Vol.🔥$72k today$94k Liq.Ends in about 6 hours
99%
Military action through March 31
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$26k Vol.
$184k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$26k Vol.$184k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
61%
Military action through April 30
12%
Yes