Economic Policy Predictions & Odds· 147 markets

93%
No Change

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026
$214k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$214k Vol.$51k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
60%
No change

Bank of England decision in April?
$199k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$199k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
81%
No change

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?
$167k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
$167k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 29 days
73%
Decrease

Bank of Japan Decision in April?
$231k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
$231k Vol.$63k Liq.Ends in 29 days
70%
25 bps increase

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in March?
$163k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$163k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
99%
Increase

US recession by end of 2026?
$916k Vol.
$91k Liq.
48
Ends in 10 months
$916k Vol.$91k Liq.48Ends in 10 months
37%
Yes

99%
No Change

Bank of Mexico Decision in May
$4k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
83%
No change

Bank of Korea decision in May?
$10k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$10k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
68%
No Change

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?
$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$12k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 3 months
58%
Increase

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?
$21k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$21k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
65%
Increase

95%
No Change

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in April?
$26k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$26k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 8 days
98%
No Change

71%
25 bps Increase

61%
No change

75%
Decrease

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$10k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$10k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 30 days
44%
2

50%
No change
