Economic Policy Predictions & Odds· 147 markets

Reserve Bank of India decision in April

Reserve Bank of India decision in April

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 days

93%

No Change

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

ECB Interest Rates: April 2026

$214k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

60%

No change

Bank of England decision in April?

Bank of England decision in April?

$199k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

83%

No change

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

$167k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 29 days

73%

Decrease

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in March?

Central Bank of Colombia Decision in March?

$163k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours

99%

Increase

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

$916k Vol.
$92k Liq.
48
Ends in 10 months

37%

Yes

Bank of Israel Decision in March?

Bank of Israel Decision in March?

$30k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ended

99%

No Change

Bank of Japan Decision in April?

Bank of Japan Decision in April?

$231k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 29 days

69%

25 bps increase

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

$4k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

83%

No change

Bank of Korea decision in May?

Bank of Korea decision in May?

$10k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

68%

No Change

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in June?

$12k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

58%

Increase

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in May?

$21k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

65%

Increase

Bank of Korea decision in April?

Bank of Korea decision in April?

$22k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 11 days

95%

No Change

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in April?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in April?

$26k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

98%

No Change

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

71%

25 bps Increase

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

$23k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

61%

No change

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

$403 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

75%

Decrease

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

$10k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

44%

2

GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

$6k Vol.
$15k Liq.
5
Ends in 10 months

61%

>2.5%

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

$0 Vol.
$36 Liq.
Ends in 3 months

50%

No change