Electoral Votes Politics Predictions & Odds· 129 markets

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months

82%

Yes

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

Yes

Hungary Parliamentary Election:  Popular Vote Winner

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Popular Vote Winner

$168k Vol.
$39k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days

74%

Tisza

Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote

Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote

$33k Vol.
$50k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days

28%

54%+

Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote

Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote

$31k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 12 days

36%

40-44%

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

$1.2m Vol.
$141k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days

39%

Tisza 9%+

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

$143k Vol.
$94k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months

37%

Ronaldo Caiado

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

Politics · World

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

$1.6m Vol.
$105k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month

95%

Scottish National Party

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

$2.7m Vol.
$151k Liq.
13
Ends in 6 months

57%

Flávio Bolsonaro

Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner

Peru Presidential Election First Round Winner

$75k Vol.
$125k Liq.
5
Ends in 12 days

39%

Rafael López Aliaga

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

$14k Vol.
$49k Liq.
3
Ends in 12 days

37%

JP

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

$1.6m Vol.
$24k Liq.
358
Ended

68%

55-60%

Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?

Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?

$122k Vol.
$101k Liq.
Ends in 12 days

41%

Other

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

$84k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in 12 days

31%

Rafael López Aliaga

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

$48k Vol.
$12k Liq.
22
Ends in 6 months

14%

Yes

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

$206k Vol.
$68k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months

38%

Lula da Silva <5%

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

$7k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 12 days

29%

Keiko Fujimori <5%

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

$10k Vol.
$13k Liq.
7
Ended

79%

No election before 2027

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

$15k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 12 days

18%

Alfonso López Chau

Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

$27k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 12 days

41%

FP