Employment Predictions & Odds· 116 markets
78%
Up
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
10%
Up
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$149 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$149 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
30%
4.5%
27%
50k – 100k
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
$335k Vol.
$21k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$335k Vol.$21k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
62%
5.0%
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
$202k Vol.
$17k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$202k Vol.$17k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
22%
Yes
Meek Mill gets Y Combinator funding by June 30?
$29k Vol.
$14k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$29k Vol.$14k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
32%
7.0%+
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 11 months
$5k Vol.$4k Liq.1Ends in 11 months
12%
Yes
February Unemployment Rate - Japan
$35k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$35k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
44%
2.7%
48%
Yes
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$312k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ends in about 14 hours
$312k Vol.$11k Liq.27Ends in about 14 hours
0%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
44%
April 30
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$82k Vol.
$21k Liq.
8
Ends in about 14 hours
$82k Vol.$21k Liq.8Ends in about 14 hours
1%
Yes
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$432k Liq.
255
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$432k Liq.255Ends in 3 months
43%
>$600M