Federalize Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
Will Trump nationalize elections?
$13k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$13k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Will Florida enact a redistricting law by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$659 Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$3k Vol.$659 Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
$243k Vol.
$23k Liq.
33
Ends in 3 months
$243k Vol.$23k Liq.33Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
$11k Vol.
$8k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
$11k Vol.$8k Liq.8Ends in 3 months
3%
Yes
77%
Pause–Pause–Pause
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
$733k Vol.
$9k Liq.
146
Ends in about 7 hours
$733k Vol.$9k Liq.146Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$8k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$6k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 8 days
30%
120-139
45%
Yes
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$819 Liq.
2
Ends in about 7 hours
$3k Vol.$819 Liq.2Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
$19k Vol.
$16k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$19k Vol.$16k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
Politics
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
$20k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$20k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?
$77k Vol.
$24k Liq.
3
Ends in about 7 hours
$77k Vol.$24k Liq.3Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?
$2k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
83%
Pause–Pause–Pause
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Tim Walz charged by...?
$496k Vol.
$71k Liq.
47
Ends in about 7 hours
$496k Vol.$71k Liq.47Ends in about 7 hours
9%
Before 2027