Financials Predictions & Odds· 118 markets
Which banks will fail by June 30?
$357k Vol.
$92k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$357k Vol.$92k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
3%
Citigroup
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
$352k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$352k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
2%
Yes
US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?
$1k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
8%
Yes
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
$77k Vol.
$19k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$77k Vol.$19k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
49%
Palantir
Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?
$155k Vol.
$27k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
$155k Vol.$27k Liq.12Ends in 3 months
91%
Miami
How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?
$92k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$92k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
42%
12+
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
$78k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$78k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
15%
Yes
Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
24
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$8k Liq.24Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
$45k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$2k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$2k Vol.
$861 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$2k Vol.$861 Liq.Ends in 1 day
44%
↓ 39000
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
$74k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
70%
↓ 0.0014
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$129 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$129 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$435k Liq.
257
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$435k Liq.257Ends in 3 months
44%
>$600M
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$13k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
45%
Yes
What price will Zcash hit in 2026?
$175k Vol.
$17k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$175k Vol.$17k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
56%
↓ 100
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
7%
Up
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
$24k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 9 months
95%
↓ $6,200
