Financials Predictions & Odds· 118 markets

Which banks will fail by June 30?
$354k Vol.
$97k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
$354k Vol.$97k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
3%
Citigroup

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
$351k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$351k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
2%
Yes

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
$78k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$78k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 3 months
15%
Yes

US currency with Trump signature issued by April 30, 2026?
$827 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$827 Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
5%
Yes

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$6k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
28%
Yes

Which cities will Waymo launch in by June 30?
$155k Vol.
$46k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
$155k Vol.$46k Liq.12Ends in 3 months
91%
Miami

Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?
$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
18
Ends in 9 months
$4k Vol.$8k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes

How many cities will Waymo operate in by June 30?
$92k Vol.
$24k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$92k Vol.$24k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
46%
12+

Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
$45k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$2k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes

Which companies will the US take a stake in?
$76k Vol.
$23k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$76k Vol.$23k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
49%
Palantir

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$889 Vol.
$723 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$889 Vol.$723 Liq.Ends in 1 day
46%
↓ 42000

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?
$74k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$74k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
70%
↓ 0.0014

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$139 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$139 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up

What price will Solana hit in 2026?
$539k Vol.
$389k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$539k Vol.$389k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
74%
↓ 60

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.0m Vol.
$431k Liq.
254
Ends in 3 months
$14.0m Vol.$431k Liq.254Ends in 3 months
43%
>$600M

1%
↓ 500

What price will Bitcoin hit in March?
$97.2m Vol.
$5.4m Liq.
🔥$4.3m today
2
Ends in 1 day
$97.2m Vol.🔥$4.3m today$5.4m Liq.2Ends in 1 day
1%
↓ 60,000

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30

46%
Yes

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?
$22k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$22k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 9 months
40%
Yes