Fivethirtyeight Predictions & Odds· 285 markets

Politics·horse race

Who will lead on 538 on Friday?

$92k Vol.

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6

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Trump

Politics·Kamala

Trump flips Kamala on 538 before October?

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14

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No

Politics·fivethirtyeight

Kamala positive favorability by Friday?

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62

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No

Politics·USA Election

Who will 538 predict to win the election?

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13

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Harris

Politics·538

Trump flips Kamala on 538 before election?

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12

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Yes

Politics·fivethirtyeight

Kamala Harris 538 odds >65% on Friday?

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10

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No

Politics·538

Kamala positive favorability by Friday?

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10

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No

Politics·538

Kamala positive favorability by Sunday?

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47

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No

Politics·Biden

Who will 538 project as favorite on Friday?

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32

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Trump

Politics·Trump

Trump approval rating on March 14?

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528

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47.5-47.9%

Politics·USA Election

How many states will 538 call correctly?

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5

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46

All

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.7% or more on February 9?

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All

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 37.0% or higher on July 28?

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All

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42% or higher on Election Day?

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All

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.8% or higher on March 22?

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All

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.0% or higher on August 31?

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All

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.5% or higher on April 30?

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All

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43.0% or higher on September 15?

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Ended

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All

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 40.0% or higher on August 18?

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Ended

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All

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 39.0% or higher on August 4?

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Ended

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