Model Predictions & Odds· 394 markets

Who will lead on Silver Bulletin on Friday?

Who will lead on Silver Bulletin on Friday?

$78k Vol.
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Trump

Who will lead on 538 on Friday?

Who will lead on 538 on Friday?

$92k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
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Trump

How many states will Nate Silver call correctly?

How many states will Nate Silver call correctly?

$10k Vol.
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48

How many states will 538 call correctly?

How many states will 538 call correctly?

$11k Vol.
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5
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46

Donald Trump 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Donald Trump 538 odds >55% on Friday?

$11k Vol.
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No

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

$130k Vol.
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No

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?

$107k Vol.
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No

Which company has the third best AI model end of February?

Which company has the third best AI model end of February?

$233k Vol.
$0 Liq.
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Google

Which company has the #1 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

Anthropic

Which company has the #2 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

Anthropic

Which company has the second best AI model end of February?

Anthropic

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

Which company has the best AI model end of February?

$22.5m Vol.
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Anthropic

What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

What day will OpenAI next release a new frontier model?

$10.1m Vol.
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December 11

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

$2.3m Vol.
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December 13

Which company has the third best AI model end of January?

Which company has the third best AI model end of January?

$682k Vol.
$0 Liq.
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Google

Which company has the third best AI model end of December?

Which company has the third best AI model end of December?

$399k Vol.
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Google

Which company has the second best AI model end of January?

Google

Which company has the best AI model end of January?

Which company has the best AI model end of January?

$29.0m Vol.
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Google